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Archive for March, 2010

Mar 31,
2010

SI looks at whether salaries cause WAR

By Amanda

SI_logo
Sports Illustrated’s 2010 MLB preview (on newsstands now!) features a piece by Joe Lemire called “War Stories,” which lists the players with the highest 2009 WAR (Wins Above Replacement) at each position for each of several salary ranges.

The Reds have a few members that make the list, including two (two??) first basemen:

  • < $1M - Joey Votto at 1B with a WAR of 4.5. What a steal!
  • $2M-$3M – Ramon Hernandez at 1B with a WAR of 0.4. Someone smells overpaid.
  • $5M-$7.5M – Brandon Phillips at 2B with a WAR of 3.2. I think he can bring that up.

Lots of other NLCers on the list as well (the Cardinal reps become more prevalent as the price goes up), so pick up a copy to check it out.

Mar 31,
2010

ST Game 27: Reds 8, A’s 3

By Zeldink

Team123456789RHE
Reds0013130008151
As000020010360
W: Leake (1-0) L: Braden (0-1)

Boxscore

The Cincinnati Reds (10-15-2) stopped their losing streak, thanks to another great pitching performance by Mike Leake.

Leake continues to battle against Travis Wood for that 5th starter spot, and it’s going down to the wire. Against the Oakland A’s (11-15-3), Leake went 6 innings, 1 more than originally scheduled. He allowed 2 runs, both of them earned, and struck out 2. Thanks to the miracle of the B-team exploding on offense, Leake even picked up the win.

On the offensive side, it was a miracle that any runs were scored, let alone 8. Most of the primary players were making the trip to Las Vegas to play the Dodgers, Drew Stubbs, Scott Rolen, and Ramon Hernandez as the regular starters. However, Stubbs and Rolen were all that were needed, with both driving in 3 runs. For Stubbs, one of those was a solo homer, his 5th of Spring Training.

After Leake left, Aroldis Chapman took the mound. (Incidentally, anybody else not really down with him being called the “Cuban Missile” on the radio broadcast? Surely there’s a better nickname out there. Of course, all I can think of is Aroldis “Cane Sugar” Chapman, so what do I know.) Chapman pitched well, allowing 1 run over 2 innings. More importantly, he struck out 3. He did walk 3, which is the most in an outing all spring. Hopefully, he’ll get to work on that in the minors.

Micah Owings pitched the 9th inning, but did not bat.

Mar 31,
2010

The Daily Brief: Closer to Making Real Decisions

By Amanda

Last Game
Aaron Harang made his final start and wasn’t very good as the Reds lost to the Padres 7-5. Joey Votto continued his excellent batting, though, with 1 hit and 2 walks.

Next Games
The Reds play their final split-squad game of the Spring Training season, two games that will help decide whether Mike Leake or Travis Wood wins the 5th starter’s spot. In the afternoon, Leake starts against the A’s at 4:05pm EDT. He will be relieved by Aroldis Chapman and Micah Owings.

In the evening, the Reds will travel to Las Vegas where Wood will start against the Dodgers. Justin Lehr, Logan Ondrusek, and Kip Wells are also scheduled to pitch. Gametime is 10:05pm EDT, and this game will be broadcast by Fox Sports Ohio. Also, the Reds are expected to make several cuts after the game.

Chapmania Put to Rest. For Now
The Reds 5th starter will be a young, inexperienced rookie, but it won’t be Aroldis Chapman. Walt Jocketty indicated yesterday that Chapman’s injury has taken him out of the running. The next Chapman thing to speculate about? Which Reds minor league team will he be assigned to?

What to Say to Sound Smart at the Water Cooler
The St. Louis Cardinals named Chris Carpenter as the Opening Day starter against the Reds. Carpenter is obviously hoping this isn’t his only start, like last year.

Mar 30,
2010

ST Game 26: Padres 7, Reds 5

By Zeldink

Team123456789RHE
Padres2030110007123
Reds0100020205143
W: Latos (3-0) L: Harang (1-3) S: Gregerson (2)

Boxscore

Aaron Harang made his last start before Opening Day for the Cincinnati Reds (9-16-2). And he was bad. Again.

Harang has been good for the Reds, and he’s one of the few players I’ve considered purchasing a jersey of, but he is not ending Spring Training in good shape. Against the San Diego Padres (17-10), Harang lasted just 4 2/3 innings, allowing 5 runs, 4 earned. He did strike out 6, which is good, but those 5 hits and 2 walks kinda negate that, not to mention the throwing error.

The Reds actually scored some runs behind Harang, but the hole was too deep. Ryan Hanigan drove in a run, as did Paul Janish on an automatic double.

The game was an ugly one, with both teams committing 3 errors. In addition to Harang’s error, Drew Sutton misplayed two balls.

With this loss, the Reds have now dropped 6 in a row.

Mar 30,
2010

The Daily Brief: Losing to the Cubs Never Feels Good

By Amanda

Last Game
The Cincinnati Reds pushed their losing streak to 5, losing 8-1 to the Chicago Cubs. The Reds used nothing but relievers, and may be able to eliminate some thanks to poor performances from Carlos Fisher, Kip Wells, and Matt Maloney. The offense was punch-less, continuing a theme from last year, although Joey Votto picked up a couple hits.

Next Game
The San Diego Padres travel to Goodyear to face Aaron Harang and the Reds at 4:05pm EDT. The game, as all remaining Spring Training games, will be broadcast on the Reds radio network. Jared Burton, Arthur Rhodes, and Daniel Ray Herrera are scheduled to relieve Harang.

Sickels on Cueto
Prospect rater and writer-extraordinaire John Sickels focused on young Reds starting pitcher Johnny Cueto (via Shawn’s Fanhuddle Reds’ blog). Sickels finds some decent comparable pitchers to Cueto, and says that if Cueto can stay healthy and further develop his secondary pitches, then he “has a very good chance to be a very solid major league starter” and “a small chance to be a genuine superstar.” After all these years of crappy Reds pitching, either option sound good to me.

What to Say to Sound Smart at the Water Cooler
Jonny Gomes is tied for the Cactus League home run lead with 5.

Mar 29,
2010

Sadly inexorable march to a Baker extension

By Amanda

via http://www.midwestsportsfans.com/2009/07/indians-should-keep-cliff-lee-important-road-trip-dusty-baker-reds/I’m still amazed when people say, without a hint of irony, that they think that Dusty Baker is the best manager in the league. Personally, I think Baker is a hell of a human being but one seriously shitty manager, and I can list off the specific reasons why I think so:

  • He builds his line-ups based on field position. The center fielder leads off, followed by short stop. Wouldn’t matter if the center fielder were Prince Fielder, he’d be leading the damn game off.
  • He has a serious love of the veterans. The closer a player is to his own age, the better, and he’ll make the young’uns sit the bench and think about what they’ve done until they get older enough to know better.
  • He prefers strike outs to walks.
  • He screws up pitchers.
  • He makes the stupidest in-game decisions anyone has ever seen. More than once I’ve suggested that he put his ideas to a vote of the 5 closest fans in the stands before he puts them in play, since he’ll be overridden 90% of the time by anyone who isn’t under the constant care of medical professionals.

However, in this interminable spring training, I don’t get the resolution to see how his in-game decisions are screwing the team, and none of the pitchers have really had the chance to get hurt yet. In three games, I saw Brandon Phillips take TWO walks, and Dusty hasn’t made any infuriating public comments on the matter in the longest time.

That leaves the veteran love. I contend that the team has managed not to stock the team with old farts, and thereby set Baker up for better success than he would have otherwise had. On the other hand Red Reporter points out that the team isn’t exactly the 2003 Florida Marlins. Either way, there aren’t any frustrating platoons being proposed and the blockers number few.

So, the only thing left to keep my anti-Baker ire up is the line-up thing, which is–wow–so stupid, but only a fraction of the stupid that I’m used to.

I understand some analysts are picking the team as the sleeper despite their uninspiring cactus league performance, which might put some pressure on the team to actually perform and not just turn in the same losing season we’ve seen for so many years in a row now that I’ve lost count.

But even if the team is slow out of the gate, I’ve got that sinking feeling that they’ll find some injury or weather condition or phase of the moon to blame it on and extend Baker’s contract. If the team gets off to a hot start, I’m afraid we’ll be stuck with him until the Cubs win it all.

Mar 29,
2010

ST Game 25: Reds 1, Cubs 8

By Zeldink

Team123456789RHE
Reds000010000190
Cubs30000023-8100
W: Wells (3-0) L: Fisher (0-1)

Boxscore

The Cincinnati Reds (9-14-2) continued to lose, but managed to not make it so close this time. Instead of a 1-run deficit at the end of the game, the Reds lost by 7. Way to go, guys!

The Reds had a bullpen day, using 7 pitchers over the course of 8 innings. Carlos Fisher, who’s still battling for a bullpen slot, started and most likely pitched his way off of the Opening Day roster. He was a slim chance anyway, but giving up 3 runs in 1 2/3 innings is not a good way to compete.

Arthur Rhodes, Justin Lehr, and Jared Burton all pitched scoreless innings. They were followed by two other pitchers on the roster bubble, who, like Fisher, likely punched their tickets for the minors. Kip Wells allowed 2 runs in his sole inning, while Matt Maloney took that and added 1 to it, allowing 3 in his inning of work.

Joey Votto continues to hit for the Reds, picking up 2 more hits and bringing his not out percentage up to 40.7%. The Reds lone run came in the 5th when Ramon Hernandez scored on a groundout by Orlando Cabrera. Small-ball for the loss!

Mar 29,
2010

The Daily Brief: Losing By 1

By Amanda

Last Game
Over the weekend, the Reds lost every game they played by 1 run. On Sunday, Bronson Arroyo started against the San Diego Padres. Arroyo was good, allowing 2 runs in 6 innings, but the offense managed only 1 run thanks to an RBI single from Wladimir Balentien.

Next Game
Today the Reds again travel to Mesa, Arizona to battle the Chicago Cubs. The Reds will be having a bullpen day, with Carlos Fisher leading the way, followed by Justin Lehr, Jared Burton, Kip Wells, Matt Maloney, and Arthur Rhodes. Game-time is 4:05 pm EDT.

Aroldis Chapman Feeling Better
If you noticed the faint sound of what appeared to be thousands of joints popping yesterday afternoon, that was probably most of Reds fandom moving their fingers again after having them crossed since Chapman had back issues. Chapman pitched for 1 inning in a AAA game, allowing 1 hit and striking out 2. Afterward, he said, “I feel like I did before, good, really good” which makes everyone who hadn’t crossed their fingers expel a breath they didn’t realize they’d been holding.

What to Say to Sound Smart at the Water Cooler
The Reds have 40 players on their active roster and will need to reduce that by 15 before the season starts on April 5. Dusty Baker said no cuts will be made until after a game in Las Vegas on March 31.

Mar 28,
2010

Pretend 1977 Season Update

By Amanda

Have you ever found yourself in a crowd of people who all seem to be on the same wavelength–and it’s a completely different wavelength than the one you’re on? Like maybe you wandered in on a screening of The Royal Tenenbaums at a weird-movie fan convention and found yourself staring around suspiciously, wondering whether the people actually found it funny or were all in on some massive psychology experiment to see if, under these conditions, they could get a test subject (you) to laugh at something not resembling comedy.

That’s a little how I feel when I read Play That Funky Baseball, the site where everyone seems to always be in character. I’m the hapless manager of the pretend 1977 Reds. My Reds are currently 7-7, which has me on the defensive. If this turns out to be a set up to see how women bloggers respond to public humiliation when their ringer teams only achieve fifth place, my wrath will be significant. And delayed until after my MBA is done. But those damn psychologists better be watching their asses in May of 2011.

Here’s the NL standings for the moment. I’m confident the “dice” that are deciding who wins these games will be realizing what’s good for them before it’s over.

National League through Tuesday, April 29

Los Angeles 8 6 .571
Montreal 7 6 .538 .5
Pittsburgh 8 7 .533 .5
Philadelphia 7 7 .500 1
Cincinnati 7 7 .500 1
Chicago 7 7 .500 1
Houston 7 9 .438 2
St. Louis 7 9 .438 2
Mar 27,
2010

ST Game 22: Reds 5, Mariners 6

By Zeldink

Team123456789RHE
Reds200020001571
Mariners0010010046111
W: Colome (1-0) L: Wells (0-2)

Boxscore

Griffey's walk-off grand slamThe Cincinnati Reds traveled to Peoria, Arizona to take on the Seattle Mariners and, for the first time since he left Cincinnati, Ken Griffey Jr.

Despite getting plunked once by Mike Leake, Griffey won the encounter in the dramatic fashion that Reds fans didn’t get to see enough of when he was with the team. With the Reds leading 5-2 in the 9th, Griffey stepped up with the bases loaded and launched one to right-center for the walk-off win.

Of course, this was off Kip Wells, which hopefully demonstrates to the Reds that he’s no longer a viable pitching option. Considering that the manager is veteran-loving Dusty Baker, I’m not holding my breath.

Other than Wells, though, the pitching was outstanding. Mike Leake and Travis Wood continued their no-holds barred battle for the 5th starter spot. Both went 4 innings and allowed only 1 run. I can’t say enough how nice it is to have good pitching options for a change.

On the offensive side, Joey Votto spent the day as the Reds DH, and may, just may, have broken out of his slump. After two walks in the previous game, Votto went 3 for 4, with 2 singles and a home run, and drove in 3. It’s good to see his bat coming around as Opening Day approaches.

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