Daily Archives: August 3, 2007

August 3, 2007

I’m with JD: Guevara Can’t Be Worse Than Cormier Was

As you almost certainly have already seen, JD at Red Reporter put up a post about the excellent numbers of Carlos Guevara in AA Chattanooga. He hypothesizes that the reason Guevara hasn't been given the opportunity to prove himself in AAA Louisville is because general manager Wayne Krivsky is a dyed-in-the-wool seamhead who can't overlook the guy's height and lack of plus off-speed stuff to notice that he's getting results.

I have the sneaking suspicion that JD is on to something there. The refusal to acknowledge the numbers is the baffling deficiency of the scout. Surely there must be some middle ground here, where you can follow your gut with due consideration to the numbers.

That being said, observing the actual results isn't exactly the strong point of the statheads either. The obsession with removing luck from the picture discounts the very real part that luck plays in the game.

Perhaps a simulation of each key personnel decision in Celebrity Death Match format is in order.

August 3, 2007

The Battle for Fifth

As I sit here, the Reds are up 6-3 on the Pirates in the top of the sixth inning: the ferocious battle for fifth place in the NLC is on! The Reds are a half game down on the Pirates after that sweeping at the hands of the Nats, making this a pride fight for the ages.

I'm coming in late on it after sweltering in the Indiana humidity helping the tot master the art of bike riding without training wheels. It's nice to see the wheels coming off in a good way for a change.

So, what the heck is up with the Reds' rotation anyway? There seems to be much discussion of who's available to fill the hole left by Kyle Lohse and not to mention…well…about everyone but Aaron Harang.

Ooh, McLouth steals one from Adam Dunn. I'd better start paying attention. It's a pride fight!